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The global financial crisis is not expected to lead to a major economic downturn in Brazil, a new study has concluded. According to the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), prospects for the South American country remain favourable in comparison with many other countries.

Indeed, the OECD’s composite leading indicators showed that the nation had experienced a decline of just 2.9 points in the last year. This compares with 7.6 points in the euro area and 8.7 points in the United States. The figures were based on various measures of economic activity, such as output in the industrial sector.

Meanwhile, the Brazilian central bank has polled 100 economists in an attempt to determine the likely rate of growth in 2009, Bloomberg reports. Respondents to the survey predicted on average that the economy would expand by two per cent this year.

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The Seattle Times was yesterday full of praises for Brazil’s leading position as a major economy. Tyler Bridges talks about Saturday’s G-20 summit in Washington and how President Lula is trying to convince G7 countries leaders to give a bigger say to developing countries.  The idea is to create a permanent G14, including Brazil, Russia, China, Mexico and India. It goes on to justify Brazil’s larger ambitions:

With the world’s 10th-biggest economy, Brazil has surpassed the United States as the biggest producer of iron ore and coffee. It’s become the world’s biggest exporter of beef, poultry, biofuels and orange-juice concentrate, and is rapidly gaining in soybeans, corn and pork.

Brazil also has accumulated $200 billion in foreign reserves, almost as much as the rest of Latin America combined. That money will help cushion the global meltdown. Now, Brazil wants to be recognized for its fiscal track record and to avoid the risks that come with a global economic crisis.

“Brazil has new standing in the world,” said Rubens Barbosa, a private consultant in Brazil who’s served as the ambassador to the United States. “We think we can contribute more.” Quietly, Brazil already has become the most powerful country in Latin America.

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